Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.046928 0.051044 0.055213 0.059748 0.064531 0.069422 0.074793
2024-10-20 0.039513 0.045489 0.051770 0.058840 0.066547 0.074668 0.083846
2024-10-27 0.034898 0.042287 0.050315 0.059621 0.070048 0.081310 0.094334
2024-11-03 0.030405 0.038714 0.048027 0.059121 0.071864 0.085931 0.102524
2024-11-10 0.027155 0.036202 0.046634 0.059370 0.074317 0.091129 0.111291
2024-11-17 0.024743 0.034418 0.045869 0.060157 0.077244 0.096774 0.120530
2024-11-24 0.023784 0.034275 0.046960 0.063069 0.082625 0.105259 0.133091
2024-12-01 0.020682 0.031185 0.044234 0.061169 0.082107 0.106709 0.137356
2024-12-08 0.018569 0.029188 0.042709 0.060601 0.083076 0.109830 0.143529
2024-12-15 0.016814 0.027521 0.041478 0.060287 0.084267 0.113153 0.149903
2024-12-22 0.016214 0.027375 0.042184 0.062413 0.088485 0.120166 0.160762
2024-12-29 0.015276 0.026674 0.042093 0.063462 0.091319 0.125474 0.169570
2025-01-05 0.014280 0.025854 0.041834 0.064316 0.093971 0.130669 0.178406
2025-01-12 0.012803 0.024219 0.040368 0.063494 0.094420 0.133097 0.183845
2025-01-19 0.012006 0.023547 0.040201 0.064391 0.097091 0.138327 0.192798
2025-01-26 0.010865 0.022250 0.039068 0.063902 0.097893 0.141163 0.198754
2025-02-02 0.010046 0.021398 0.038524 0.064186 0.099692 0.145261 0.206308
2025-02-09 0.009448 0.020857 0.038400 0.065027 0.102220 0.150294 0.215060
2025-02-16 0.009467 0.021353 0.039837 0.068105 0.107811 0.159346 0.229000
2025-02-23 0.008243 0.019613 0.037790 0.066105 0.106408 0.159233 0.231183
2025-03-02 0.007454 0.018565 0.036748 0.065507 0.106890 0.161563 0.236491
2025-03-09 0.006789 0.017683 0.035917 0.065178 0.107712 0.164324 0.242353
2025-03-16 0.006697 0.017872 0.036805 0.067421 0.112164 0.171946 0.254589